Malaysia Will Face Super El Nino Starting This November
The country will be hit by the Super El Nino phenomenon which is expected to begin this November.
According to Deputy Director General (Operations) of the Meteorological Department of Malaysia (METMalaysia), Ambun Dindang, the forecast is based on data monitored by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) via the Climate Prediction Center (CPC).
Risk of Early Smoke Haze Next Year
This phenomenon will increase the risk of warmer weather, reduced rainfall and haze in the country, given the end of the Northeast Monsoon season next year.
“The El Nino phenomenon is currently occurring, but Super El Nino status is estimated to start around November 2026 and continue until January 2027.
“This phenomenon occurred in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, but its impact can be felt throughout the world, including Malaysia. However, the impact within the country is expected to occur more slowly than in the original region,” he said.
Ambun added that Malaysia is expected to experience a significant decrease in rainfall and increase in temperature early next year if the forecast comes true.
There may be episodes of the highest temperature recorded at 40.1 degrees Celsius in Chuping on April 9 1998 and 39.3 degrees Celsius in Batu Embun in 2016.
He conveyed this after an interaction session with the media: the government’s readiness to face the Southwest Monsoon (MBD) in 2026.
Meanwhile, projections of the risk of transboundary haze in the next few months were made in line with the development of the El Niño phenomenon and dry weather conditions during the Southwest Monsoon season.
Additionally, most countries in Southeast Asia including Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia typically experience hotter and drier weather, increasing the risk of haze during the Southwest Monsoon.
“In this season, the haze can come from local sources or be brought across the border from neighboring countries which are also experiencing dry weather,” he said.
He added that several hotspots in neighboring countries that emerged were at risk of affecting regional air quality, based on monitoring carried out ASEAN Special Meteorological Center (ASMC).
However, Ambun emphasized that it was still too early to confirm that Malaysia would face a serious episode of haze as the situation depended on the weather and wind direction from time to time.
The haze is likely to get worse after the end of the North East Monsoon, as the country is expected to return to a drier period next year.
Therefore, MetMalaysia will continue to monitor the development of the El Nino phenomenon and global climate data continuously.
This is to ensure that any weather changes that may affect the country can be notified in advance to the public and relevant agencies.
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